Northeast leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Northeast typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northeast, ~31% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Northeast compares
Northeast runs about 14 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Northeast. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Northeast leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Northeast. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Northeast, Mesa, AZ sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Northeast looks the way it does
Turnout in Northeast sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Southeast Mesa, Mesa, AZ R+18
- Central Mesa, Mesa, AZ R+6
- Woodridge Lakes, Mesa, AZ R+12
- Hohokam Village, Mesa, AZ D+9
- West Central, Mesa, AZ D+17
- Heritage District, Gilbert, AZ D+5
- Palm Springs, Apache Junction, AZ R+23
- The Islands, Gilbert, AZ R+5
- Southwest Mesa, Mesa, AZ D+14
- San Tan Ranch, Gilbert, AZ R+16
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Northwest, El Paso, TX D+8
- Mid City, Los Angeles, CA D+52
- Buckhead, Atlanta, GA D+23
- East Arlington, Arlington, TX D+22
- East Memphis-Colonial-Yorkshire, Memphis, TN D+37
- Tremont, Bronx, NY D+43
- Central, El Paso, TX D+26
- Canarsie, Brooklyn, NY D+70
- Southwest Dallas, Dallas, TX D+45
- Bullard, Fresno, CA D+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.