Chagrin Falls, OH Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Chagrin Falls

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Chagrin Falls leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.

 

About more than 99% of adults in Chagrin Falls typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chagrin Falls, ~47% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~0% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Chagrin Falls compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Chagrin Falls leans more Republican than 58 of 131 neighbors.

Chagrin Falls runs about 6 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Chagrin Falls. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+22) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+28), a spread of about 49 points.

Why Chagrin Falls leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chagrin Falls, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Chagrin Falls votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 43%, modestly above the Ohio average of 34%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Chagrin Falls are family households, above 79% of cities.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Chagrin Falls, OH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Chagrin Falls looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Chagrin Falls is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Chagrin Falls have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.