Chimney Lakes, Jacksonville, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Chimney Lakes

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Chimney Lakes leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.

 

About 80% of adults in Chimney Lakes typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chimney Lakes, ~42% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Chimney Lakes compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Chimney Lakes leans more Democratic than 1 of 10 neighbors.

Chimney Lakes runs about 18 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Chimney Lakes is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Chimney Lakes. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 30 points.

Why Chimney Lakes leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chimney Lakes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Chimney Lakes votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Chimney Lakes runs about 18 points more Democratic.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Chimney Lakes, Jacksonville, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Chimney Lakes looks the way it does

Turnout in Chimney Lakes sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.