Jacksonville Heights South leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Jacksonville Heights South typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jacksonville Heights South, ~41% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jacksonville Heights South compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Jacksonville Heights South leans more Democratic than 7 of 17 neighbors.
Jacksonville Heights South runs about 23 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Jacksonville Heights South is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Jacksonville Heights South. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+21) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Jacksonville Heights South leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jacksonville Heights South, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Jacksonville Heights South votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Jacksonville Heights South runs about 23 points more Democratic.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Jacksonville Heights South, Jacksonville, FL does.
Why turnout in Jacksonville Heights South looks the way it does
Turnout in Jacksonville Heights South sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Jacksonville Heights West, Jacksonville, FL D+27
- Herlong, Jacksonville, FL D+22
- Jacksonville Heights, Jacksonville, FL D+30
- Settlers Landing, Jacksonville, FL R+7
- Chimney Lakes, Jacksonville, FL D+5
- McGirts Creek, Jacksonville, FL D+19
- Normandy Manor, Jacksonville, FL D+3
- Oak Hill, Jacksonville, FL D+31
- Normandy Estates, Jacksonville, FL Even
- Cedar Hills, Jacksonville, FL D+17
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Montclair, Oakland, CA D+71
- Rolling Mill Hill, Wilkes-Barre, PA D+13
- Terra del Sol, Houston, TX D+40
- Hampden South, Denver, CO D+37
- Bayside, Everett, WA D+36
- Woodbine, Nashville, TN D+26
- Mantua, Fairfax, VA D+40
- Treme' Lafitte, New Orleans, LA D+76
- Bashford Manor, Louisville, KY D+40
- Tollgate Overlook, Aurora, CO D+36
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.