Buenaventura Lakes, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Buenaventura Lakes

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Buenaventura Lakes leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.

 

About 53% of adults in Buenaventura Lakes typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buenaventura Lakes, ~28% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Buenaventura Lakes compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Buenaventura Lakes leans more Democratic than 35 of 51 neighbors.

Buenaventura Lakes runs about 19 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Buenaventura Lakes is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Buenaventura Lakes. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+12) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Buenaventura Lakes leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buenaventura Lakes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 87% of residents in Buenaventura Lakes live in densely developed areas, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in Buenaventura Lakes have never been married, above 89% of cities. Buenaventura Lakes runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Buenaventura Lakes, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Buenaventura Lakes looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Buenaventura Lakes is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 7 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Buenaventura Lakes have completed high school, below 76% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.