Jacinto City leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 32% of adults in Jacinto City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jacinto City, ~17% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jacinto City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jacinto City leans more Democratic than 53 of 62 neighbors.
Jacinto City runs about 22 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Jacinto City is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Jacinto City. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+36) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Jacinto City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jacinto City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 98% of residents in Jacinto City live in densely developed areas, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 32% of adults in Jacinto City have never been married, above 79% of cities. Jacinto City runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Jacinto City, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Jacinto City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Jacinto City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 10 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 34% of households in Jacinto City rent, above 90% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 55% of adults in Jacinto City have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Galena Park, TX D+6
- Cloverleaf, TX D+11
- Channelview, TX R+3
- South Houston, TX D+7
- Pasadena, TX R+8
- Sheldon, TX R+6
- Deer Park, TX R+38
- Magnolia Gardens, TX R+13
- Lynchburg, TX R+39
- West University Place, TX D+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Colts Neck, NJ R+32
- Nuevo, CA R+22
- Peru, IL R+10
- Berkeley Springs, WV R+55
- Beverly Hills, MI D+25
- Bloomingdale, TN R+57
- Creswell, OR R+8
- Croydon, PA R+6
- Brentwood, PA D+14
- Carthage, NC R+38
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.