Craighead County leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Craighead County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Craighead County, ~21% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Craighead County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Craighead County leans more Republican than 1 of 9 neighbors.
Politically, Craighead County sits close to the rest of Arkansas.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Craighead County. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+67) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 54 points.
Why Craighead County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Craighead County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Craighead County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 56%, far above the Arkansas average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Craighead County, AR does.
Why turnout in Craighead County looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 40% of households in Craighead County rent, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Poinsett County, AR R+56
- Greene County, AR R+58
- Lawrence County, AR R+65
- Jackson County, AR R+48
- Randolph County, AR R+63
- Mississippi County, AR R+10
- Clay County, AR R+62
- Cross County, AR R+41
- Dunklin County, MO R+50
- Crittenden County, AR D+22
Counties with Similar Populations
- Douglas County, OR R+29
- Androscoggin County, ME R+12
- Cowlitz County, WA R+18
- Hardin County, KY R+27
- Mercer County, PA R+27
- Delaware County, IN R+11
- Albemarle County, VA D+24
- LaPorte County, IN R+11
- Ontario County, NY R+2
- Newton County, GA D+16
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.