Crawford County is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Crawford County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Crawford County, ~14% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Crawford County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Crawford County leans more Republican than 7 of 11 neighbors.
Crawford County runs about 43 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Crawford County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Crawford County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 15% of adults in Crawford County hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Missouri average of 22%. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Crawford County is about 92%, well above similar-sized counties (around 71%).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Crawford County, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Crawford County looks the way it does
Turnout in Crawford County sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Phelps County, MO R+33
- Gasconade County, MO R+58
- Washington County, MO R+63
- Maries County, MO R+66
- Franklin County, MO R+48
- Dent County, MO R+65
- Osage County, MO R+70
- Iron County, MO R+60
- St. Francois County, MO R+48
- Pulaski County, MO R+36
Counties with Similar Populations
- Vilas County, WI R+18
- Hopewell City, VA D+23
- Clarke County, AL R+14
- St. Francis County, AR D+18
- Hampshire County, WV R+62
- Poinsett County, AR R+56
- Ray County, MO R+53
- New Kent County, VA R+28
- Osceola County, MI R+46
- Tattnall County, GA R+43
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.