Darby leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Darby typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Darby, ~22% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Darby compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Darby leans more Republican than 36 of 51 neighbors.
Darby runs about 31 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Darby. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Darby leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Darby. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Darby, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Darby looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Darby is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 67% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Darby own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Darby have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- San Antonio, FL R+27
- St. Joseph, FL R+39
- St. Leo, FL R+15
- Spring Lake, FL R+56
- Dade City, FL R+30
- South Brooksville, FL R+28
- Shady Hills, FL R+48
- Brooksville, FL R+42
- Wesley Chapel, FL R+6
- Pasadena Hills, FL R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Loma Linda, MO R+54
- Buffalo City, WI R+31
- Paducah, TX R+55
- Lukachukai, AZ D+64
- Yonkers, GA R+56
- Bancroft, WV R+48
- Reeds, MO R+70
- Nye, WI R+37
- Maple Hill, KS R+54
- Walton, NE R+42
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.