Pasadena Hills leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Pasadena Hills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pasadena Hills, ~26% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pasadena Hills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pasadena Hills leans more Republican than 20 of 46 neighbors.
Pasadena Hills runs about 10 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pasadena Hills. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Pasadena Hills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pasadena Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Pasadena Hills votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 66%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Pasadena Hills, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Pasadena Hills looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Pasadena Hills is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Zephyrhills West, FL R+29
- Zephyrhills, FL R+26
- Zephyrhills South, FL R+31
- St. Leo, FL R+15
- Dade City, FL R+30
- Crystal Springs, FL R+55
- San Antonio, FL R+27
- Wesley Chapel, FL R+6
- St. Joseph, FL R+39
- Darby, FL R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oxford, FL R+39
- Sweeny, TX R+52
- Chickasaw, AL D+6
- Marcy, NY R+26
- Crestline, OH R+50
- Poolesville, MD D+12
- Jonesboro, LA R+26
- Ramseur, NC R+51
- Freeburg, IL R+36
- Shepherd, TX R+57
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.