Downtown Ashtabula is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Downtown Ashtabula typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Downtown Ashtabula, ~23% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Downtown Ashtabula compares
Downtown Ashtabula runs about 10 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Downtown Ashtabula. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+14), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Downtown Ashtabula leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Downtown Ashtabula. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Downtown Ashtabula, Ashtabula, OH sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Downtown Ashtabula looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 74% of adults in Downtown Ashtabula have completed high school, about 16 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Downtown Ashtabula sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Turtle Ridge, Irvine, CA R+6
- West Hills, Huntington, NY R+4
- U of O Campus, Eugene, OR D+74
- Parkside, Camden, NJ D+79
- Alessandro, San Bernardino, CA D+29
- Newell South, Charlotte, NC D+44
- Triangle, Buffalo, NY D+12
- Cimarron, Rochester, MN D+25
- Hallsville, Manchester, NH D+21
- Tyner Homes, Bakersfield, CA D+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.