Little Italy, Erie, PA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Little Italy

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Little Italy leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.

 

About 43% of adults in Little Italy typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Little Italy, ~28% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Little Italy compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Little Italy leans more Democratic than 6 of 10 neighbors.

Little Italy runs about 32 points more Democratic than Pennsylvania as a whole. Pennsylvania is roughly evenly split, and Little Italy sits clearly on the Democratic side.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Little Italy. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+37) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+22), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Little Italy leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Little Italy, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Little Italy live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 52% of adults in Little Italy have never been married, above 84% of neighborhoods. Little Italy runs against the grain of Pennsylvania, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Little Italy, Erie, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Little Italy looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 72% of households in Little Italy rent, about 47 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in Little Italy have completed high school, below 76% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Little Italy sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.