East Erie, Erie, PA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in East Erie

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

East Erie leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.

 

About 40% of adults in East Erie typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Erie, ~29% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How East Erie compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, East Erie is the most Democratic-leaning.

East Erie runs about 48 points more Democratic than Pennsylvania as a whole. Pennsylvania is roughly evenly split, and East Erie sits clearly on the Democratic side.

Politics vary noticeably by block within East Erie. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+63) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+42), a spread of about 21 points.

Why East Erie leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Erie, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in East Erie live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 55% of adults in East Erie have never been married, above 89% of neighborhoods. East Erie runs against the grain of Pennsylvania, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; East Erie, Erie, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in East Erie looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. East Erie is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 22 points below the Pennsylvania average of 64%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 67% of households in East Erie rent, compared to around 48% in nearby neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in East Erie have completed high school, below 91% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.