Dulles Town Center leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Dulles Town Center typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dulles Town Center, ~38% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dulles Town Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dulles Town Center leans more Democratic than 78 of 161 neighbors.
Dulles Town Center runs about 20 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why Dulles Town Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dulles Town Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 97% of residents in Dulles Town Center live in densely developed areas, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Dulles Town Center sits in the top quarter (about 61%, above 97% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in Dulles Town Center have never been married, above 94% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Dulles Town Center, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Dulles Town Center looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 67% of households in Dulles Town Center rent, about 42 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in Dulles Town Center have more than one occupant per room, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sterling, VA D+23
- Countryside, VA D+21
- Cascades, VA D+28
- Dranesville, VA D+32
- Lowes Island, VA D+20
- Ashburn, VA D+23
- Herndon, VA D+34
- Sugarland, MD D+13
- McNair, VA D+46
- Broadlands, VA D+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Beaver Dam, KY R+56
- Greenback, TN R+69
- Coldspring, TX R+57
- Hanover, IN R+40
- Coal Valley, IL R+18
- Port St. Joe, FL R+41
- North Street, MI R+38
- Port Labelle, FL R+36
- Eldorado at Santa Fe, NM D+68
- Pinnacle, NC R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.