Dumbo is a Democratic stronghold. About 88% of voters here vote Democratic and 12% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Dumbo typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dumbo, ~51% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dumbo compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Dumbo leans more Democratic than 42 of 54 neighbors.
Dumbo runs about 63 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Dumbo. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+85) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+68), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Dumbo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dumbo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 73% of adults in Dumbo hold a bachelor's degree, about 45 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in Dumbo have never been married, above 80% of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Dumbo, Brooklyn, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Dumbo looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 8% of homes in Dumbo have more than one occupant per room, above 87% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Brooklyn Heights, Brooklyn, NY D+75
- Downtown Brooklyn, Brooklyn, NY D+79
- Lower East Side, Manhattan, NY D+47
- Cobble Hill, Brooklyn, NY D+79
- Boerum Hill, Brooklyn, NY D+77
- Chinatown, Manhattan, NY D+41
- Financial District, Manhattan, NY D+58
- Columbia Street Waterfront District, Brooklyn, NY D+78
- Little Italy, Manhattan, NY D+58
- Clinton Hill, Brooklyn, NY D+69
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Windyke-Southwind, Memphis, TN D+46
- North and East, Richmond, CA D+55
- Myers Park, Charlotte, NC D+9
- West 7th, St. Paul, MN D+59
- Vista East, Orlando, FL D+4
- Morningside-Lenox Park, Atlanta, GA D+46
- Egger Highlands, San Diego, CA D+16
- South Redlands, Redlands, CA Even
- Harmony Village, Detroit, MI D+87
- Glenville, Cleveland, OH D+87
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.