Union Park is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Union Park typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Union Park, ~28% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Union Park compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Union Park leans more Democratic than 40 of 59 neighbors.
Union Park runs about 18 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Union Park is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Union Park. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Union Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Union Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Union Park votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Union Park runs about 18 points more Democratic.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Union Park, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Union Park looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Union Park is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 21%, about 6 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in Union Park rent, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Alafaya, FL D+4
- Azalea Park, FL D+9
- Goldenrod, FL D+6
- Winter Park, FL D+4
- Oviedo, FL R+10
- Conway, FL R+9
- Bithlo, FL R+17
- Casselberry, FL R+4
- Winter Springs, FL R+14
- Orlando, FL D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Warr Acres, OK D+3
- Earlimart, CA D+4
- Countryside, VA D+21
- Mineola, TX R+60
- Port Salerno, FL R+19
- Santa Teresa, NM R+4
- Poplar Grove, IL R+19
- Independence, KS R+36
- Westlake, LA R+58
- Maxton, NC R+11
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.