East Bakersfield leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 27% of adults in East Bakersfield typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Bakersfield, ~16% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~73% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Bakersfield compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, East Bakersfield leans more Democratic than 12 of 14 neighbors.
Politically, East Bakersfield sits close to the rest of California.
Why East Bakersfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Bakersfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in East Bakersfield live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 57% of adults in East Bakersfield have never been married, above 90% of neighborhoods.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; East Bakersfield, Bakersfield, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in East Bakersfield looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. East Bakersfield is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 32%, about 30 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 81% of households in East Bakersfield rent, compared to around 55% in nearby neighborhoods. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 57% of adults in East Bakersfield report food insecurity, in the top fraction of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- College Heights Baker Street, Bakersfield, CA D+15
- Hillcrest-Bakersfield, Bakersfield, CA R+2
- La Cresta-Alta Vista, Bakersfield, CA R+14
- Lakeview-Bakersfield, Bakersfield, CA D+25
- Oakridge, Bakersfield, CA D+11
- Homaker Park, Bakersfield, CA D+13
- Bakersfield Country Club, Bakersfield, CA R+12
- Casa Loma, Bakersfield, CA D+20
- Oleander Sunset, Bakersfield, CA D+17
- Riviera-Westchester, Bakersfield, CA R+10
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- South Boulder, Boulder, CO D+76
- Group 14621, Rochester, NY D+57
- Bohemian California, Chicago, IL D+46
- Gandy-Sun Bay South, Tampa, FL D+3
- Bay Park, San Diego, CA D+30
- Upper Northwood, Baltimore, MD D+87
- Sabre Springs, San Diego, CA D+20
- Adams Morgan, Washington, DC D+83
- Great Northwest, San Antonio, TX D+10
- Audubon, New Orleans, LA D+39
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.