Bakersfield Country Club leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Bakersfield Country Club typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bakersfield Country Club, ~23% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bakersfield Country Club compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bakersfield Country Club leans more Republican than 9 of 11 neighbors.
Bakersfield Country Club runs about 32 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Bakersfield Country Club is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Bakersfield Country Club. The south side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Bakersfield Country Club leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bakersfield Country Club, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Bakersfield Country Club drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Bakersfield Country Club sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 91% of neighborhoods). Bakersfield Country Club runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Bakersfield Country Club, Bakersfield, CA does.
Why turnout in Bakersfield Country Club looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bakersfield Country Club is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in Bakersfield Country Club have completed high school, below 84% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Hillcrest-Bakersfield, Bakersfield, CA R+2
- Oakridge, Bakersfield, CA D+11
- East Bakersfield, Bakersfield, CA D+19
- Tyner Homes, Bakersfield, CA D+5
- College Heights Baker Street, Bakersfield, CA D+15
- La Cresta-Alta Vista, Bakersfield, CA R+14
- Lakeview-Bakersfield, Bakersfield, CA D+25
- City in the Hills, Bakersfield, CA R+23
- Casa Loma, Bakersfield, CA D+20
- Homaker Park, Bakersfield, CA D+13
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Linda Vista-San Francisco, Napa, CA D+24
- Downtown, Honolulu, HI D+33
- Cajon, San Bernardino, CA D+9
- Bryant Pattengill West, Ann Arbor, MI D+55
- Thrasher's Corner-Red Hawk, Bothell, WA D+26
- Oak Hill, Newton Center, MA D+45
- Woodland Hills, Cleveland, OH D+86
- North Central, San Antonio, TX D+21
- Lincoln Park, Denver, CO D+63
- Cattleman Square, San Antonio, TX D+35
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.