Casa Loma leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 29% of adults in Casa Loma typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Casa Loma, ~17% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~71% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Casa Loma compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Casa Loma leans more Democratic than 18 of 19 neighbors.
Politically, Casa Loma sits close to the rest of California.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Casa Loma. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+29) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+13), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Casa Loma leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Casa Loma, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 53% of adults in Casa Loma have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 39%).
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Casa Loma, Bakersfield, CA does.
Why turnout in Casa Loma looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Casa Loma is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 36%, about 26 points below the California average of 62%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 50% of adults in Casa Loma report food insecurity, in the top fraction of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 55% of adults in Casa Loma have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Lakeview-Bakersfield, Bakersfield, CA D+25
- Oleander Sunset, Bakersfield, CA D+17
- Benton Park, Bakersfield, CA D+6
- Oakridge, Bakersfield, CA D+11
- Rexland Acres, Bakersfield, CA D+8
- Tyner Homes, Bakersfield, CA D+5
- East Bakersfield, Bakersfield, CA D+19
- Hillcrest-Bakersfield, Bakersfield, CA R+2
- College Heights Baker Street, Bakersfield, CA D+15
- Riviera-Westchester, Bakersfield, CA R+10
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Webster, Orono, ME D+54
- Broad Ripple, Indianapolis, IN D+48
- Lasley, Lakewood, CO D+20
- Palma Ceia, Tampa, FL D+5
- West Gate, Columbus, OH D+27
- Camp Curtin, Harrisburg, PA D+73
- Arlington Park, Sarasota, FL Even
- Westhaven, Franklin, TN R+31
- Meadowbrook Heights, Kansas City, MO R+3
- Atlanta-Inman Park, Atlanta, GA D+56
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.