Oleander Sunset, Bakersfield, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Oleander Sunset

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Oleander Sunset leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.

 

About 37% of adults in Oleander Sunset typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oleander Sunset, ~21% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Oleander Sunset compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Oleander Sunset leans more Democratic than 21 of 24 neighbors.

Politically, Oleander Sunset sits close to the rest of California.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Oleander Sunset. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+35) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 36 points.

Why Oleander Sunset leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oleander Sunset, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Oleander Sunset live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in Oleander Sunset have never been married, above 81% of neighborhoods.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Oleander Sunset, Bakersfield, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Oleander Sunset looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oleander Sunset is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 19 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 71% of households in Oleander Sunset rent, about 46 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 41% of adults in Oleander Sunset report food insecurity, above 94% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.