East Moline, IL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in East Moline

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

East Moline leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.

 

About 66% of adults in East Moline typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Moline, ~38% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How East Moline compares

Among cities within 25 miles, East Moline leans more Democratic than 74 of 75 neighbors.

East Moline runs about 6 points more Democratic than Illinois as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within East Moline. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+23) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 32 points.

Why East Moline leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Moline, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 81% of residents in East Moline live in densely developed areas, about 45 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 32% of adults in East Moline have never been married, above 80% of cities.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; East Moline, IL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in East Moline looks the way it does

Turnout in East Moline sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.