El Nido is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 33% of adults in El Nido typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in El Nido, ~8% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~67% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How El Nido compares
Among cities within 25 miles, El Nido leans more Republican than 22 of 23 neighbors.
El Nido runs about 75 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while El Nido is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within El Nido. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 27 points.
Why El Nido leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for El Nido, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in El Nido hold a bachelor's degree, about 25 points below the California average of 35%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in El Nido are family households, above 79% of cities. El Nido runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; El Nido, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in El Nido looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. El Nido is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 60% of households in El Nido rent, compared to around 42% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 27% of adults in El Nido report food insecurity, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Santa Rita Park, CA R+55
- Tuttle, CA R+34
- Merced, CA D+6
- Dos Palos, CA R+11
- McSwain, CA R+37
- South Dos Palos, CA R+14
- Castle Garden, CA R+26
- Chowchilla, CA R+26
- Planada, CA D+10
- Le Grand, CA R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hardy, AR R+60
- Sandoval, IL R+53
- Milford, UT R+59
- Friendship, MD R+14
- West Springfield, PA R+39
- Sandersville, MS R+45
- Jefferson, PA R+46
- Peytonsville, TN R+44
- Francestown, NH Even
- Fowler, IL R+64
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.