Le Grand leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Le Grand typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Le Grand, ~20% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Le Grand compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Le Grand leans more Republican than 7 of 23 neighbors.
Le Grand runs about 34 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Le Grand is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Le Grand. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 59 points.
Why Le Grand leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Le Grand, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Le Grand votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 25%, far below the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Le Grand sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 76% of cities). Le Grand runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Le Grand, CA does.
Why turnout in Le Grand looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Le Grand is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 12 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in Le Grand rent, above 94% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in Le Grand report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Planada, CA D+10
- Calpack, CA R+32
- Tuttle, CA R+34
- Chowchilla, CA R+26
- Sharon, CA R+32
- Buhach, CA R+13
- Merced, CA D+6
- Fairmead, CA R+37
- El Nido, CA R+54
- Catheys Valley, CA R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Harbeson, DE R+11
- Decaturville, TN R+71
- Hersey, MI R+45
- Waddy, KY R+54
- Astor, FL R+60
- Florence, WI R+38
- Wofford Heights, CA R+43
- University Park, MD D+59
- Coal Creek, CO D+21
- Logan, WV R+54
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.