Elk Run Heights leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Elk Run Heights typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elk Run Heights, ~30% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elk Run Heights compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elk Run Heights leans more Republican than 7 of 46 neighbors.
Elk Run Heights runs about 12 points more Republican than Iowa as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elk Run Heights. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Elk Run Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elk Run Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elk Run Heights votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 46%, far above the Iowa average of 16%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Elk Run Heights sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 85% of cities).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Elk Run Heights, IA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Elk Run Heights looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Elk Run Heights is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Evansdale, IA R+10
- Raymar, IA R+29
- Raymond, IA R+37
- Gilbertville, IA R+38
- Dewar, IA R+41
- Waterloo, IA D+11
- Orange, IA R+32
- Littleton, IA R+43
- Dunkerton, IA R+39
- Jesup, IA R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kell, IL R+66
- Long Point, TX R+65
- San Lorenzo Park, CA D+47
- Elmore City, OK R+66
- Houston, OH R+73
- Lilydale, MN D+27
- Myton, UT R+84
- Sidney Center, NY R+37
- Chestatee, GA R+52
- Norphlet, AR R+64
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Iowa Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.