Elkhorn is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Elkhorn typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elkhorn, ~34% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elkhorn compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elkhorn sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 38 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 6 leaning the other way.
Elkhorn runs about 20 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Elkhorn sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elkhorn. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Elkhorn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elkhorn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elkhorn votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Elkhorn runs about 20 points more Republican.
Adult arthritis and voter turnout
Places with a low adult-arthritis rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Elkhorn, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Arthritis does not drive turnout; it reflects the age and health profile of an area.
Why turnout in Elkhorn looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Elkhorn is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Moss Landing, CA D+16
- Prunedale, CA Even
- Castroville, CA D+35
- Aromas, CA D+12
- Pajaro, CA D+18
- Watsonville, CA D+36
- Freedom, CA D+40
- San Juan Bautista, CA D+23
- Salinas, CA D+29
- Marina, CA D+32
Cities with Similar Populations
- Springfield, CO R+67
- Wardsville, MO R+65
- Lake Como, NJ D+11
- New Harmony, IN R+43
- Norwood, MO R+74
- Ceredo, WV R+40
- Corapeake, NC R+41
- Harpersville, AL R+61
- Kings Mills, OH R+24
- East Setauket, NY R+2
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.