Emerald Lake-Miami leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 33% of adults in Emerald Lake-Miami typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Emerald Lake-Miami, ~21% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~67% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Emerald Lake-Miami compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Emerald Lake-Miami is the most Democratic-leaning.
Emerald Lake-Miami runs about 43 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Emerald Lake-Miami is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Emerald Lake-Miami. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+33) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+15), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Emerald Lake-Miami leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Emerald Lake-Miami, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Emerald Lake-Miami votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Emerald Lake-Miami runs about 43 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in Emerald Lake-Miami have never been married, above 89% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Emerald Lake-Miami, Lake Worth, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Emerald Lake-Miami looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Emerald Lake-Miami is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 17 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 94% of households in Emerald Lake-Miami rent, compared to around 23% in nearby neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 63% of adults in Emerald Lake-Miami have completed high school, below 98% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Meadows, Boynton Beach, FL D+16
- Boynton Lakes Plaza, Boynton Beach, FL D+6
- South Side, West Palm Beach, FL Even
- Southwest, West Palm Beach, FL Even
- Lake Charleston, Lake Worth, FL R+4
- Smith Dairy West, Lake Worth, FL D+3
- Leisureville, Boynton Beach, FL Even
- Olympia, Wellington, FL Even
- Indian Spring, Boynton Beach, FL D+18
- Palm Beach Lakes, West Palm Beach, FL D+58
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Capitol Park, Des Moines, IA D+33
- Rancho Dominguez, Compton, CA D+39
- Historic Montford, Asheville, NC D+72
- Academy Hills Park, Albuquerque, NM D+13
- Caprock, Lubbock, TX R+18
- Oakland Beach, Warwick, RI D+5
- Scenic Bluff, Fort Worth, TX D+21
- Fairview, Charlotte, NC R+60
- Burrage, Hanson, MA Even
- Columbia San Diego, San Diego, CA D+37
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.