Fairmont leans heavily Democratic by roughly 38 points: about 69% of voters vote Democratic and 31% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Fairmont typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fairmont, ~39% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fairmont compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Fairmont leans more Democratic than 4 of 22 neighbors.
Fairmont runs about 18 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Fairmont leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fairmont, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Fairmont live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; Fairmont, Pacifica, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Fairmont looks the way it does
Turnout in Fairmont sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Edgemar-Pacific Manor, Pacifica, CA D+54
- Serramonte, Daly City, CA D+36
- Westview, Pacifica, CA D+52
- St. Francis, Daly City, CA D+35
- Serra Highlands, South San Francisco, CA D+43
- Sharp Park, Pacifica, CA D+51
- Westborough, South San Francisco, CA D+41
- Westlake-San Francisco, Daly City, CA D+40
- Broadmoor, Daly City, CA D+36
- El Camino, South San Francisco, CA D+43
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Bear Canyon, Tucson, AZ R+4
- West 10th, Oklahoma City, OK D+20
- Lake Houston, Houston, TX R+15
- Platte Brook North, Kansas City, MO D+9
- Fort Caroline Shores, Jacksonville, FL R+29
- Caballo Hills, Oakland, CA D+66
- Downtown Chattanooga, Chattanooga, TN D+40
- El Trece, Laredo, TX D+13
- South Coast, Santa Ana, CA D+24
- Mallory Creek at Abacoa, Jupiter, FL R+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.