St. Francis leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 48% of adults in St. Francis typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in St. Francis, ~33% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How St. Francis compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, St. Francis leans more Democratic than 1 of 30 neighbors.
St. Francis runs about 15 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why St. Francis leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for St. Francis, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in St. Francis live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; St. Francis, Daly City, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in St. Francis looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 15% of homes in St. Francis have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Westlake-San Francisco, Daly City, CA D+40
- Broadmoor, Daly City, CA D+36
- Hillside, Daly City, CA D+39
- Fairmont, Pacifica, CA D+38
- Serramonte, Daly City, CA D+36
- Original Daly City, Daly City, CA D+40
- Edgemar-Pacific Manor, Pacifica, CA D+54
- Westview, Pacifica, CA D+52
- Crocker, Daly City, CA D+42
- Serra Highlands, South San Francisco, CA D+43
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Washington Park, Chicago, IL D+81
- River Mountain, Little Rock, AR D+9
- Baldwin Park, Orlando, FL D+10
- Sky Line, San Diego, CA D+33
- Jenkins-Pinecroft, Shreveport, LA D+33
- Glenville, Cleveland, OH D+87
- Southside, Toledo, OH D+34
- Family Acres, Lincoln, NE Even
- Egger Highlands, San Diego, CA D+16
- Southwest, Wichita, KS Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.