Terra Vista leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Terra Vista typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Terra Vista, ~25% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Terra Vista compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Terra Vista leans more Republican than 4 of 14 neighbors.
Terra Vista runs about 27 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Terra Vista is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Terra Vista leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Terra Vista, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Terra Vista drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in Terra Vista are family households, above 92% of neighborhoods. Terra Vista runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Terra Vista, Bakersfield, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Terra Vista looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 7% of homes in Terra Vista have more than one occupant per room, above 86% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Artisan, Bakersfield, CA R+6
- Tevis Ranch, Bakersfield, CA R+17
- The Oaks, Bakersfield, CA R+22
- Silver Creek, Bakersfield, CA R+5
- Seven Oaks at Grand Island, Bakersfield, CA R+22
- Seven Oaks, Bakersfield, CA R+28
- Haggin Oaks, Bakersfield, CA R+19
- Laurelglen, Bakersfield, CA R+15
- The Seasons, Bakersfield, CA R+9
- Spice Tract, Bakersfield, CA Even
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Millside Heights, Riverside, NJ D+9
- East Village, Amherst, MA D+74
- Centennial Park, Santa Ana, CA D+24
- Olentangy River Road, Columbus, OH D+34
- North El Monte, Arcadia, CA D+13
- Arroyo Viejo, Oakland, CA D+66
- Fairoaks, Tampa, FL R+2
- East del Paso Heights, Sacramento, CA D+20
- Columbus Park, Omaha, NE D+36
- Boston Road, Springfield, MA D+24
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.