Raintree is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Raintree typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Raintree, ~30% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Raintree compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Raintree is the most Republican-leaning.
Raintree runs about 8 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Why Raintree leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Raintree. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Raintree, Kissimmee, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Raintree looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 88% of households in Raintree own their home, about 17 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Raintree sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Lake Nona, Orlando, FL R+4
- Wyndham Lakes Estates, Meadow Woods, FL D+12
- Eagle Bay, Kissimmee, FL D+11
- Beacon Park, Meadow Woods, FL D+10
- Northlake Park at Lake Nona, Orlando, FL R+6
- Bal Bay, Orlando, FL Even
- Southchase Village, Southchase, FL D+7
- Falcon Trace, Southchase, FL D+10
- Airport North, Orlando, FL D+21
- Vista East, Orlando, FL D+4
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Norton Commons, Prospect, KY R+4
- Highland Farms-San Antonio, San Antonio, TX D+36
- Idylwood, Redmond, WA D+51
- Talus, Issaquah, WA D+54
- Fondren Gardens, Houston, TX D+44
- West Atherton, Atherton, CA D+43
- Mount Pleasant Area, Mount Pleasant, NC R+59
- El Gheko, Tucson, AZ D+29
- Rothfield, Semmes, AL R+41
- White Gables, Summerville, SC R+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.