Eagle Bay leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Eagle Bay typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Eagle Bay, ~25% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Eagle Bay compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Eagle Bay leans more Democratic than 4 of 5 neighbors.
Eagle Bay runs about 24 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Eagle Bay is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Eagle Bay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Eagle Bay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Eagle Bay votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Eagle Bay runs about 24 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Eagle Bay, Kissimmee, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Eagle Bay looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Eagle Bay is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 7 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in Eagle Bay have completed high school, below 81% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Wyndham Lakes Estates, Meadow Woods, FL D+12
- Beacon Park, Meadow Woods, FL D+10
- Raintree, Kissimmee, FL R+5
- Falcon Trace, Southchase, FL D+10
- Southchase Village, Southchase, FL D+7
- Lake Nona, Orlando, FL R+4
- Waterway Village, Kissimmee, FL D+6
- Northlake Park at Lake Nona, Orlando, FL R+6
- Bal Bay, Orlando, FL Even
- Westwood, Orlando, FL D+15
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Madrona, Seattle, WA D+84
- Castle Rouge, Detroit, MI D+82
- Golden Triangle, Denver, CO D+60
- Hawthorne, Middle River, MD D+24
- Buechel, Louisville, KY D+31
- Castle Ranch, Bakersfield, CA R+7
- Kirtland Community, Albuquerque, NM D+35
- University Heights and Rosedale Hills, Indianapolis, IN D+13
- Ypsilanti Historic District, Ypsilanti, MI D+65
- Lincoln Place, Pittsburgh, PA R+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.