Foresta leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Foresta typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Foresta, ~25% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Foresta compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Foresta leans more Republican than 8 of 18 neighbors.
Foresta runs about 31 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Foresta is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Foresta. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+23) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+14), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Foresta leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Foresta, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Foresta live in densely developed areas, about 57 points below the California average of 58%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 92% of households in Foresta are family households, in the top fraction of cities. Foresta runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Foresta, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Foresta looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 92% of households in Foresta rent, about 67 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 99% of adults in Foresta have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sugar Pine, CA R+15
- Incline, CA R+19
- El Portal, CA D+22
- Yosemite National Park, CA D+18
- Groveland, CA R+20
- Greeley Hill, CA R+34
- Midpines, CA D+7
- Yosemite Junction, CA D+16
- Pine Mountain Lake, CA R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dekle Beach, FL R+59
- Monford, KY R+73
- Lewisville, PA R+55
- Cotton Grove, NC R+44
- Carlisle-Rockledge, AL R+78
- Hartman, CO R+66
- Welton, IA R+46
- Starbuck, WA R+70
- Woodside, MT R+54
- Ottosen, IA R+54
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.