Sugar Pine leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Sugar Pine typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sugar Pine, ~28% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sugar Pine compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sugar Pine leans more Republican than 11 of 22 neighbors.
Sugar Pine runs about 35 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Sugar Pine is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Sugar Pine leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sugar Pine, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Sugar Pine votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Sugar Pine runs about 35 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Sugar Pine, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Sugar Pine looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Sugar Pine is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Sugar Pine own their home, compared to around 65% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Sugar Pine have completed high school, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Incline, CA R+19
- Foresta, CA R+11
- El Portal, CA D+22
- Midpines, CA D+7
- Groveland, CA R+20
- Greeley Hill, CA R+34
- Yosemite National Park, CA D+18
- Darrah, CA R+19
- Mariposa, CA R+9
- Mount Bullion, CA R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Womack, LA R+82
- Maunie, IL R+68
- Three Lakes, MI R+32
- Tidwell, TX R+64
- Clyde, PA R+56
- Terry Creek, TN R+75
- McDade, LA R+72
- Clarksburg, MA Even
- Conway, IA R+52
- Collinsburg, LA R+12
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.