Girdwood leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 73% of adults in Girdwood typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Girdwood, ~39% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Girdwood compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Girdwood is the most Democratic-leaning.
Girdwood runs about 21 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Girdwood is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Girdwood leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Girdwood, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 52% of adults in Girdwood hold a bachelor's degree, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in Girdwood have never been married, above 93% of cities. Girdwood runs against the grain of Alaska, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Girdwood, AK sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Girdwood looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 99% of adults in Girdwood have completed high school, about 9 points above the Alaska average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Indian, AK D+8
- Hope, AK R+37
- Whittier, AK R+19
- Fort Richardson, AK R+14
- Eagle River, AK D+9
- Anchorage, AK D+23
- Peters Creek, AK R+10
- Elmendorf Afb, AK D+2
- Chugiak, AK R+5
- Moose Pass, AK R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alto, TX R+48
- Bloomington, TX R+9
- Stuart, IA R+44
- Slater, MO R+45
- Sun Valley, ID D+22
- Maringouin, LA D+20
- Mooreland, OK R+72
- Oakland, GA R+43
- Memphis, TX R+59
- West Dennis, MA D+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.