Macon Lake leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 26% of adults in Macon Lake typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Macon Lake, ~7% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~74% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Macon Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Macon Lake leans more Republican than 28 of 42 neighbors.
Macon Lake runs about 17 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Macon Lake. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+57) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 47 points.
Why Macon Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Macon Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Macon Lake live in densely developed areas, about 9 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Macon Lake sits in the bottom quarter (about 10%, below 93% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in Macon Lake are family households, above 96% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Macon Lake, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Macon Lake looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Macon Lake is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in Macon Lake report food insecurity, above 85% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in Macon Lake have completed high school, below 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bellaire, AR R+57
- Lake Village, AR R+11
- Luna, AR R+66
- Montrose, AR R+49
- Halley Junction, AR R+29
- Dermott, AR D+33
- Halley, AR R+65
- Refuge, MS R+34
- Portland, AR R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Preston, NV R+65
- Russell, OK R+74
- Lodge Corner, AR R+79
- Sagerton, TX R+77
- Meador, KY R+65
- Dubbs, MS D+33
- Stumptown, WV R+59
- Oldenburg, TX R+69
- Hext, TX R+65
- New Maysville, IN R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.