Harris leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Harris typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Harris, ~22% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Harris compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Harris leans more Republican than 16 of 55 neighbors.
Harris runs about 5 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Harris. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Harris leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Harris, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in Harris are family households, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Adult arthritis and voter turnout
Places with a low adult-arthritis rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Harris, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Arthritis does not drive turnout; it reflects the age and health profile of an area.
Why turnout in Harris looks the way it does
Turnout in Harris sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Crosses, AR R+10
- Elkins, AR R+40
- Tuttle, AR R+37
- Wyman, AR R+16
- Goshen, AR R+24
- Sulphur City, AR R+34
- Durham, AR R+49
- Fayetteville, AR D+17
- Greenland, AR R+28
- Wesley, AR R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Reeltown, AL R+63
- Calpack, CA R+32
- Mount Royal, PA R+54
- Radium Springs, GA D+32
- Elmira, CA R+30
- Henlawson, WV R+68
- Simsboro, TX R+74
- Greeley Center, NE R+67
- Little Canada, NY R+39
- Whitaker, IN R+59
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.