Calpack leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 16% of adults in Calpack typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Calpack, ~5% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~84% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Calpack compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Calpack leans more Republican than 12 of 24 neighbors.
Calpack runs about 52 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Calpack is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Calpack leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Calpack, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Calpack live in densely developed areas, about 56 points below the California average of 58%. Calpack runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Calpack, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Calpack looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Calpack is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 18 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 49% of households in Calpack rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 38% of adults in Calpack report food insecurity, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Planada, CA D+10
- Tuttle, CA R+34
- Buhach, CA R+13
- Le Grand, CA R+14
- Merced, CA D+6
- Castle Garden, CA R+26
- McSwain, CA R+37
- El Nido, CA R+54
- Atwater, CA R+13
- Chowchilla, CA R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Radium Springs, GA D+32
- Harris, AR R+36
- Olga, MN R+51
- Greeley Center, NE R+67
- Glade Farms, WV R+53
- Locke, TN R+50
- Casa, AR R+71
- Carson, NM D+40
- Yellow Lake, WI R+29
- Shady Grove, OK R+47
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.