Hawthorne is a Democratic stronghold. About 81% of voters here vote Democratic and 19% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Hawthorne typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hawthorne, ~44% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hawthorne compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Hawthorne leans more Democratic than 10 of 37 neighbors.
Hawthorne runs about 58 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Why Hawthorne leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hawthorne, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 55% of adults in Hawthorne have never been married, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 29%.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Hawthorne, Minneapolis, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hawthorne looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hawthorne is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 27 points below the Minnesota average of 66%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 42% of adults in Hawthorne report food insecurity, above 95% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Hawthorne sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Jordan, Minneapolis, MN D+63
- Folwell, Minneapolis, MN D+67
- Near North, Minneapolis, MN D+70
- Willard-Hay, Minneapolis, MN D+72
- North Loop, Minneapolis, MN D+65
- Webber-Camden, Minneapolis, MN D+61
- Holland, Minneapolis, MN D+67
- Harrison, Minneapolis, MN D+67
- Victory, Minneapolis, MN D+57
- Downtown West, Minneapolis, MN D+61
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Downtown Oakdale, Oakdale, CA R+17
- Uptown, Racine, WI D+59
- Newport, Bellevue, WA D+43
- La Mesa, Albuquerque, NM D+33
- Roosevelt, Iowa City, IA D+55
- Duncan Park, Lexington, KY D+68
- Central City Santa Ana, Santa Ana, CA D+32
- Kerns, Portland, OR D+80
- North Lamar, Austin, TX D+37
- Central Business District, Pittsburgh, PA D+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.