Downtown Oakdale leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Downtown Oakdale typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Downtown Oakdale, ~25% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Downtown Oakdale compares
Downtown Oakdale runs about 38 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Downtown Oakdale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Downtown Oakdale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Downtown Oakdale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 83% of residents in Downtown Oakdale drive to work alone, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Downtown Oakdale sits in the bottom quarter (about 16%, below 83% of neighborhoods). Downtown Oakdale runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Downtown Oakdale, Oakdale, CA sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Downtown Oakdale looks the way it does
Turnout in Downtown Oakdale sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Crossroads-Riverbank, Riverbank, CA R+19
- Downtown Waterford, Waterford, CA R+23
- Mayfield, Ceres, CA R+25
- Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA D+18
- Bystrom, Modesto, CA D+15
- Shackelford, Modesto, CA D+18
- West Modesto, Modesto, CA D+8
- South Modesto Acres, Modesto, CA D+21
- Downtown Turlock, Turlock, CA Even
- Park, Stockton, CA D+26
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Hawthorne, Minneapolis, MN D+62
- Uptown, Racine, WI D+59
- Newport, Bellevue, WA D+43
- La Mesa, Albuquerque, NM D+33
- Roosevelt, Iowa City, IA D+55
- Duncan Park, Lexington, KY D+68
- Central City Santa Ana, Santa Ana, CA D+32
- North Lamar, Austin, TX D+37
- Kerns, Portland, OR D+80
- Central Business District, Pittsburgh, PA D+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.