Duncan Park is a Democratic stronghold. About 84% of voters here vote Democratic and 16% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Duncan Park typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Duncan Park, ~47% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Duncan Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Duncan Park is the most Democratic-leaning.
Duncan Park runs about 98 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole. Kentucky leans Republican overall, while Duncan Park is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Duncan Park. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+77) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+59), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Duncan Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Duncan Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Duncan Park live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 55% of adults in Duncan Park have never been married, above 88% of neighborhoods. Duncan Park runs against the grain of Kentucky, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Duncan Park, Lexington, KY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Duncan Park looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Duncan Park sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 63% of households in Duncan Park rent, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Downtown Lexington, Lexington, KY D+55
- Castlewood Park, Lexington, KY D+16
- Fairway-Liberty Heights, Lexington, KY D+43
- Mount Vernon-Hollywood-Montclair, Lexington, KY D+54
- University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY D+52
- Virginia Ave, Lexington, KY D+41
- Chevy Chase-Ashland Park, Lexington, KY D+44
- Kenawood-Rockwood, Lexington, KY D+9
- Eastland Park-Dixie Plantation, Lexington, KY D+17
- Cardinal Hill-Pine Meadow, Lexington, KY D+40
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Roosevelt, Iowa City, IA D+55
- Central City Santa Ana, Santa Ana, CA D+32
- La Mesa, Albuquerque, NM D+33
- North Lamar, Austin, TX D+37
- Newport, Bellevue, WA D+43
- Downtown Oakdale, Oakdale, CA R+17
- Hawthorne, Minneapolis, MN D+62
- Abbott McKinley, Buffalo, NY D+16
- Uptown, Racine, WI D+59
- Southgate, Hayward, CA D+39
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.