Hill Top is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Hill Top typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hill Top, ~11% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hill Top compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hill Top leans more Republican than 15 of 45 neighbors.
Hill Top runs about 51 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hill Top. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+74) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+58), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Hill Top leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hill Top, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 76% of households in Hill Top are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Hill Top sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 83% of cities).
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a low frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hill Top, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in Hill Top looks the way it does
Turnout in Hill Top sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Doniphan, MO R+66
- Pulaski, MO R+70
- Briar, MO R+70
- Pratt, MO R+74
- Current View, MO R+74
- Purman, MO R+71
- Oxly, MO R+71
- Flatwoods, MO R+72
- Poynor, MO R+74
- Bennett, MO R+73
Cities with Similar Populations
- Grantsville, WV R+67
- Mount Olivet, KY R+62
- Mount Olive, OH R+64
- Virginia City, NV R+37
- Baxter, KY R+68
- Wilmot, NH D+8
- Peabody, KS R+55
- Turners Station, KY R+57
- Rheems, PA R+29
- Middletown Springs, VT R+14
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.