Hillwood Estates is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Hillwood Estates typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hillwood Estates, ~37% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hillwood Estates compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Hillwood Estates is the least Democratic-leaning.
Hillwood Estates runs about 35 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while Hillwood Estates is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Hillwood Estates. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Hillwood Estates leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hillwood Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hillwood Estates votes against the grain of Tennessee. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while Hillwood Estates runs about 35 points more Democratic.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hillwood Estates, Nashville, TN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Hillwood Estates looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hillwood Estates is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- West Meade, Nashville, TN D+6
- White Bridge, Nashville, TN D+20
- Charlotte Park, Nashville, TN D+9
- Sylvan Park, Nashville, TN D+38
- Cherokee Park, Nashville, TN D+44
- Green Hills, Nashville, TN D+13
- Hillsboro West End, Nashville, TN D+45
- Bellevue, Nashville, TN D+8
- Vanderbilt-West End, Nashville, TN D+54
- Bellmont Hillsboro, Nashville, TN D+51
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Sycamore Manor, Sycamore, IL D+14
- Angells, Ann Arbor, MI D+69
- Grant Beach, Springfield, MO Even
- Downtown Akron, Akron, OH D+62
- Nearnorthwest, South Bend, IN D+48
- Woodhaven, Fargo, ND R+13
- Mills Estates, Burlingame, CA D+43
- Dahlman, Omaha, NE D+38
- Prairie Hills, Madison, WI D+64
- Johnson Ranch, Roseville, CA R+2
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.