Hot Spring County is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Hot Spring County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hot Spring County, ~13% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hot Spring County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Hot Spring County leans more Republican than 6 of 10 neighbors.
Hot Spring County runs about 21 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Hot Spring County. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 49 points.
Why Hot Spring County leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Hot Spring County. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hot Spring County, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Hot Spring County looks the way it does
Turnout in Hot Spring County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Garland County, AR R+33
- Clark County, AR R+18
- Saline County, AR R+41
- Grant County, AR R+71
- Dallas County, AR R+18
- Montgomery County, AR R+67
- Pike County, AR R+69
- Pulaski County, AR D+28
- Perry County, AR R+62
- Jefferson County, AR D+22
Counties with Similar Populations
- Gibson County, IN R+49
- Pike County, AL R+17
- Lawrence County, AL R+63
- Transylvania County, NC R+17
- Lafayette County, MO R+51
- Jasper County, TX R+54
- Greenbrier County, WV R+47
- Jefferson County, WA D+45
- Jefferson County, IN R+43
- Jasper County, IN R+50
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.