Aldine, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Aldine

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Aldine leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.

 

About 26% of adults in Aldine typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Aldine, ~14% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~74% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Aldine compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Aldine leans more Democratic than 38 of 49 neighbors.

Aldine runs about 19 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Aldine is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Aldine. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+32) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 36 points.

Why Aldine leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Aldine, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 99% of residents in Aldine live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 45% of adults in Aldine have never been married, above 96% of cities. Aldine runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Aldine, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Aldine looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Aldine is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 33%, about 21 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in Aldine rent, compared to around 22% in nearby cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 49% of adults in Aldine have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.