Laveen leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Laveen typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Laveen, ~39% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Laveen compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Laveen leans more Democratic than 27 of 35 neighbors.
Laveen runs about 37 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Laveen is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Laveen. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+42) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Laveen leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Laveen, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 81% of residents in Laveen live in densely developed areas, about 44 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in Laveen have never been married, above 93% of cities. Laveen runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Laveen, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Laveen looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Laveen is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Laveen report food insecurity, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Laveen Village, AZ D+63
- Tolleson, AZ D+25
- Avondale, AZ D+16
- Phoenix, AZ Even
- Sacate, AZ D+59
- Guadalupe, AZ D+40
- Santa Cruz, AZ D+37
- Tempe, AZ D+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bellevue, NE R+2
- West Des Moines, IA D+15
- Waterloo, IA D+11
- Shawnee, KS D+6
- Lynwood, CA D+41
- Kenner, LA Even
- The Colony, TX R+3
- Easley, SC R+53
- Bethesda, MD D+65
- DeLand, FL R+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.