Belle Valley is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Belle Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Belle Valley, ~38% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Belle Valley compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Belle Valley is the most Republican-leaning.
Politically, Belle Valley sits close to the rest of Pennsylvania.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Belle Valley. The south side is the most split-leaning (R+13) and the southwest side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Belle Valley leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Belle Valley. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Belle Valley, Erie, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Belle Valley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Belle Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 60% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- South East Hills, Erie, PA D+16
- Southeast Erie, Erie, PA D+20
- Central Eastside, Erie, PA D+44
- Marvintown, Erie, PA D+27
- Brookside, Erie, PA Even
- East Erie, Erie, PA D+47
- Little Italy, Erie, PA D+30
- Downtown Erie, Erie, PA D+36
- West Side Squires, Erie, PA D+23
- Fairfield, Erie, PA R+4
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Woburn Street Historic District, Reading, MA D+33
- Paloma Lake, Round Rock, TX D+5
- Milan, New Orleans, LA D+62
- Route 66 Historic District, Amarillo, TX R+12
- Sunshine, Lehigh Acres, FL D+6
- Vine, Kalamazoo, MI D+51
- Stone Meadows, Bakersfield, CA R+4
- Fordville, Southgate, MI R+8
- Neighborhood Nine, Cambridge, MA D+78
- Tobin Hill, San Antonio, TX D+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.