Central Eastside, Erie, PA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Central Eastside

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Central Eastside leans heavily Democratic by roughly 44 points: about 72% of voters vote Democratic and 28% Republican.

 

About 55% of adults in Central Eastside typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Central Eastside, ~40% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Central Eastside compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Central Eastside leans more Democratic than 11 of 12 neighbors.

Central Eastside runs about 46 points more Democratic than Pennsylvania as a whole. Pennsylvania is roughly evenly split, and Central Eastside sits clearly on the Democratic side.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Central Eastside. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+50) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+38), a spread of about 12 points.

Why Central Eastside leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Central Eastside, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Central Eastside live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 61% of adults in Central Eastside have never been married, above 93% of neighborhoods. Central Eastside runs against the grain of Pennsylvania, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Central Eastside, Erie, PA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Central Eastside looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Central Eastside is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 17 points below the Pennsylvania average of 64%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 62% of households in Central Eastside rent, about 37 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Central Eastside sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.