Lonoke County is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Lonoke County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lonoke County, ~15% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lonoke County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Lonoke County leans more Republican than 8 of 13 neighbors.
Lonoke County runs about 22 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Lonoke County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+68) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+35), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Lonoke County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lonoke County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 72% of households in Lonoke County are family households, above 85% of counties.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Lonoke County, AR sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lonoke County looks the way it does
Turnout in Lonoke County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Pulaski County, AR D+28
- Prairie County, AR R+64
- White County, AR R+56
- Faulkner County, AR R+30
- Saline County, AR R+41
- Cleburne County, AR R+63
- Monroe County, AR R+33
- Perry County, AR R+62
- Arkansas County, AR R+33
- Conway County, AR R+47
Counties with Similar Populations
- Scioto County, OH R+47
- Broomfield County, CO D+25
- Somerset County, PA R+54
- Vermilion County, IL R+22
- Wood County, WI R+22
- Lea County, NM R+50
- Raleigh County, WV R+46
- Putnam County, FL R+42
- Kauai County, HI D+20
- Grand Forks County, ND R+8
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.