Arkansas County leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Arkansas County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arkansas County, ~17% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arkansas County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Arkansas County leans more Republican than 5 of 8 neighbors.
Politically, Arkansas County sits close to the rest of Arkansas.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Arkansas County. The west side is the most split-leaning (R+84) and the northwest side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 82 points.
Why Arkansas County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arkansas County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Arkansas County hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 82% of residents in Arkansas County drive to work alone, above 82% of counties.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Arkansas County, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Arkansas County looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 35% of households in Arkansas County rent, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in Arkansas County have completed high school, below 78% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Monroe County, AR R+33
- Prairie County, AR R+64
- Lincoln County, AR R+41
- Jefferson County, AR D+22
- Desha County, AR R+7
- Phillips County, AR D+20
- Lonoke County, AR R+52
- Lee County, AR D+10
- Cleveland County, AR R+69
- Coahoma County, MS D+51
Counties with Similar Populations
- Henry County, AL R+45
- Tama County, IA R+25
- Mariposa County, CA R+16
- Mason County, KY R+42
- Park County, MT R+14
- Chickasaw County, MS R+12
- Ben Hill County, GA R+17
- Cooper County, MO R+46
- Franklin County, AR R+64
- Manassas Park City, VA D+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.