Marshall leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Marshall typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Marshall, ~27% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Marshall compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Marshall leans more Republican than 1 of 39 neighbors.
Marshall runs about 6 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Marshall. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+30) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 62 points.
Why Marshall leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Marshall, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Marshall votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 53%, well above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Marshall, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Marshall looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Marshall is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 32% of households in Marshall rent, compared to around 12% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nesbitt, TX R+61
- Scottsville, TX R+35
- Woodlawn, TX R+59
- Darco, TX R+55
- Hallsville, TX R+68
- Walkers Mill, TX R+81
- Karnack, TX R+42
- Elysian Fields, TX R+66
- Leigh, TX R+14
- Harleton, TX R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Bradenton, FL R+8
- Smithtown, NY R+27
- Mint Hill, NC R+4
- Zionsville, IN D+4
- Hackettstown, NJ R+9
- Hixson, TN R+31
- Woodway, TX R+30
- Forest Grove, OR D+10
- Deer Park, NY R+5
- Hillsborough, NC D+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.